The Math of Dominance: Why Middle Powers Can’t Afford to Decouple from US, China

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At January's World Economic Forum in Davos, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney argued that the old world order is not coming back. If we are really in an emerging era of great power rivalry where middle powers, like Canada, come together to counter the rise of great powers, what could the new order look like, and just how much influence can middle powers wield compared to the U.S. and China? Despite tariff threats, the reality is that there's just no getting around working with the world's two largest economies. In this clip from a recent episode of Talking Geopolitics, host Christian Smith is joined by GPF Chairman George Friedman to discuss it all and to examine why the U.S. and Canada can't just decouple from one another. Visit http://www.geopoliticalfutures.com for world-class geopolitical analysis and discussion, and to access our full 2026 Forecast: Re-anchoring the World.