Mending the Rift: Iran and the UAE's Post-War Ties

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Iran’s historically thorny relationship with the United Arab Emirates is entering a sharper, more complex phase, mixing pressure, deterrence, and cautious diplomacy. In the wake of the war and the midst of the present cease-fire, Tehran is signaling to Abu Dhabi that cooperation with US military efforts against Iran carries consequences, while keeping the door open to dialogue with the UAE. The message is clear: neutrality is no longer optional, but confrontation is not inevitable. At the same time a bilateral economic relationship crucial to Iran hangs in the balance. As vulnerabilities in the UAE’s security and economic model are exposed, both sides face a strategic choice: escalation or managed coexistence. What comes next in Iranian-Emirati relations Please join us for a timely discussion on the shifting balance, risks, and opportunities ahead in Iran’s relationship with the UAE. This conversation will feature SAIS Senior Fellow Afshin Molavi, Asharq al-Awsat Columnist Nadim Koteich, and MEI Senior Fellow Alex Vatanka. MEI Vice President for Policy, Dr. Kenneth M. Pollack, will moderate.